Posted by Samuel on Fri 27th Feb, 2026 - tori.ng
Manchester City will play Real Madrid again, while Paris Saint-Germain face Chelsea in the standout ties.
The Opta SuperComputer has identified the teams most likely to win this season’s Champions League.
This follows the conclusion of the last-16 draw on Friday.
Manchester City will play Real Madrid again, while Paris Saint-Germain face Chelsea in the standout ties.
Arsenal have been draw against Bayer Leverkusen and Newcastle will take on Barcelona.
Opta has given Arsenal a 27.4% chance of winning the trophy. Bayern Munich, who will face Atalanta, has a 14.3% chance.
Liverpool has been given a 12.8% probability and Manchester City has a 10.8% chance.
Chances of winning the Champions League according to Opta Probability:
Arsenal – 27.4%
Bayern Munich – 14.3%
Liverpool – 12.8%
Man City – 10.8%
Barcelona – 7.7%
Chelsea – 6.9%