The Opta SuperComputer has predicted the top five teams most likely to win the UEFA Champions League as the Round of 16 fixtures get underway on Tuesday.
Holders PSG will face Chelsea, Bayern Munich take on Atalanta, Arsenal play Bayer Leverkusen and Real Madrid will clash with Manchester City again.
Ahead of these matches, Opta has given Arsenal a 26.9% chance of not only getting to the final, but winning the competition.
Bayern have a 16.2% probability, Manchester City 11.3%, Liverpool 11% and Barcelona 9.5%.
Of these teams, only Arsenal and Barcelona on the opposite side of the draw.
If City see off Madrid, they are likely to face Bayern in the quarter-final.